While the front runners carefully craft shifts in message to attempt to cannibalize votes off each other, and the tailchasers are watching for the exit door that will benefit them the most, Ron Paul blithely continues on his course of action. He doesn’t make semantic comments foreshadowing a seachange in policy positions, but rather sticks to the deceptively simplistic messsage that placed him here.
Ron Paul has it good. He isn’t running against seven other people whose viewpoints are similar to his own. He doesn’t have to form study groups to see which words make his position sound the best to the voter, and what Mitt Romney says on any given day has no effect on what Ron Paul will do. He isn’t running against Mitt. He isn’t running against Rudy, or John or the not running yet Fred. He is running against voter apathy, public ignorance, and an ingrained, almost slavish tendency to accept the status quo, and only the status quo.
For Ron Paul to succeed he doesn’t have to combat the others, but rather society in general. Months into the quest for the White House people have still never heard of Ron Paul. Contrary to the popular misconception applied by his followers, this isn’t because the mainstream media ignores him. It’s because the largest voting demographic right now is the”I don’t know and I don’t care” majority. It’s early, and most people would rather wait and pick between less candidates. It’s easier for their :I need my life to be easy” minds to comprehend. He and his campaign has to get these people to listen, and shy of promising free lottery tickets, sex, and beer I don’t know how he can do that, other than to just continue being Ron Paul.
Then you come to the message issue. He has to convince undertaxed rich folk, a downsized middle class, and an entitlement oriented impoverished multitude to want his vision of a constitutional government. His ideas on the surface have merit, but people tend to shy away from you taking something from them that they are used to getting. I can’t picture big business accepting anything like fair taxation. Nor can I picture the impoverished masses giving up their state sanctioned freebies. The middle class might be his best hope, but even they have to question where his economic theories might lead.
The matter of his current camp followers is something he can control, and has apparently decided not to. Everything he says is taken as being written on stone tablets, so he needs to convince them that his message is enough to carry the nomination. So far the trend toward blog-sponsored heathenism is only an irritation, but when people really start paying attention he needs to convince his fringe elements to exercise the flipside to the right to free speech, and convince them to practice the right to shut up.
So its all about Ron. Can he convince America that his far reaching ideals will fix whats broken, or will they continue to seek security through stupidity? It’s easy to convince yourself that everythings not so bad, when the option you have is an all or nothing gamble with your future on the line.
The illinois straw poll; Ron Paul and Mitt Romney win againAugust 17, 2007
They rolled out the carpet at the Illinois state fair. They had none of the pomp and ceremony that was in Iowa, so it’s probably a more accurate measure of polularity if nothing else. No matter what the numbers mean, I’d rather have Illinois votes than Iowa. Nothing personal, but Illinois makes election noise based on population. Iowa does it based on tradition.
Mitt Romney: 373 votes (40.35 percent)
Fred Thompson: 184 votes (19.96 percent)
Ron Paul: 174 votes (18.87 percent)
Rudy Giuliani: 107 votes (11.61 percent)
John McCain: 38 votes (4.12 percent)
Mike Huckabee: 28 votes (3.04 percent)
Sam Brownback: 10 votes (1.08 percent)
Duncan Hunter: 6 votes (0.65 percent)
Tom Tancredo: 2 votes (0.33 percent
I don’t count Fred because he isn’t a candidate yet, but even if I did I’d still say Ron Paul beat him. 18.1% shows that people are starting to grasp who he is, and the competition mano a mano isn’t all that important to him. Fred Thompson on the other hand has to beat Mitt. Not right now, but he has it to do. Ron Paul has to beat public opinion and obscurity. He is starting to do that, but may well run out of time.
Mitt’s 40% shows he is the leading candidate. It doesn’t look like anyone put any national level work in here, and the vote was only about 1000 people. He took 40% of that, and more than the two closest competitors combined.
The bottom 5 should just throw in the towel. Including Huckabee. He doesn’t have the cash to work like he did in Iowa, so that was maybe his last good showing. McCain on down drew less than 40 out of 1000 and Tancredo and Hunter didn’t manage 1 percent.
vote counts credit goes to http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2007/08/grasping_at_il_straws.html
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