Ron Paul Campaign Reality Check

August 28, 2007

   Feeling a little froggy over there in Dr. Paul ville?  You have a few straw polls under your belt, the meetup groups are burgeoning, and he just had a birthday.  Let me put you in touch with some numbers you need to know.

The first one is you have not more than 6 months until this is over.  Since I’d rather not listen to you snivel about how you were robbed I’d also like to point out these numbers.  These a re the numbers it took to win each state in 2000.  Many of them of course are skewed because everyone drops out once its obvious who the winner is going to be, but these are still big numbers.

   Internet support is solid…you are still looking for that magic million, but even if you get to it, that’s only 20,000 per state on average.  Your meetup groups are tracking maybe as high as 50,000 members nation wide.  Thats 1000 per state on average.  Most states will require at least 100,000 votes to win. 

  In other words, you aren’t even close, and based on what I can see your numbers aren’t climbing fast enough to get you anywhere close.  You need more money, more advertising, more phone calls, and more reason if you hope to compete.

So get out of that armchair, put down the mac-10 and hit the streets.  You still have a lot of work to do.

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The good news for Ron Paul

August 25, 2007

  I decided to do a little research this week, and I have to tell you it cost me dearly.  While I’m not yet willing to gouge my eyes out with rusty spoons, I can think of nothing more mind numbingly boring than checking out Ron Paul meet up group numbers, etc. etc.

   You see, for me it doesn’t matter how wonderful a person you are, nor how right your ideas may be.  What’s important is can you become president, because if you can’t you are an irrelevent side issue to the campaign.  What I’m finding is a lot of very old in blog years news about Ron Paul and his supporters.  I know, you figure its August, and nothing really happens in August.  Fine.  If you’re Hillary Clinton, or Fred Thompson, or some other well known politico.  If you are still struggling with name recognition(and you are, pauliacs), August is your month.  Nobody else is doing anything.  Even the Iraqi parliament is on vacation, so its a grand chance for you to make a move.  Guess what?  You wasted it.  Your poll numbers haven’t changed a bit.  The best number in August is the Fox News Poll which put your total within the margin of error.  That’s right.  It’s quite possible that your 3% is the best national poll number you’ve ever received, and it’s still miniscule.  Hard to imagine a birthday bar-b-q is going to change that.  I think Ron Paul takes his campaign as seriously as the mainstream media.

I did however find good news.    I’ll lisyt the candidates and their vote totals, and then I’ll tell you what it is.

Ron Paul:  48,300,000

John Edwards:  41,800,000

Hillary Clinton: 9,160,000

Fred Thompson: 6,310,000

Rudy Giuliani:  2,880,000

Barack Obama: 2,770,000

   Thats the number of results you get when you type their names, capitalized, in your google search engine.  This means that Ron Paul and John Edwards are way out in front when it comes to….well…having their names typed in a google search engine box.

Better than nothing.  But they still come in behind porn,  viagra, recipes, George Bush, HIV, and cartoons.  It would be nice if your a Ron Paul fan to see something significant in the numbers, and I don’t mean we now have eighty eleven meetup groups with a total of 46, 000 members.  His campaign is growing excruciatingly slowly when you consider you only have 5 months till the nominees are picked, and then it will be all over but the cries of “we was robbed.”